Until it's there you don't rest easy. It's called the cone of uncertainty for a reason and if you're within that cone you still watch it like it has a bullseye on you.
If the high ridge to the north, what is preventing Dorian from turning that direction, holds for longer than the models anticipate it's a different situation for Florida. Some are calling for WSW wobbles, some models still have it going right through.
While model accuracy has increased dramatically in the last twenty years that really only applies to 3-5 days out. 1-2 days is still wildly unpredictable. Just remember that they run on a consensus and to keep informed and prepared.
From someone who went through Gloria, Andrew, Charley, Frances, Jeanne, Katrina, Wilma with sides of Dennis and Ivan.